NFL Week 16 Line Movements and Picks

If there’s anything you’ll notice about this week’s spate of games, it’s that there’s an alarmingly high number of home underdogs. I’m not just talking about short dogs, either. I’m talking home dogs getting anywhere from 8 to 11 points. That should make for a very exciting betting week for the public and the books as the season winds down. Expect fireworks, people!

Titans at Jaguars

As expected, there’s been little movement on the line, although some books did drop the number to -2.5 for the Jaguars. Still, betting on this game is incredibly tricky because both teams are better off just losing this game to improve their draft stocks. If I had to choose, and believe me, it’s a forced pick, I’d probably side with the home team on account of them being, well, at home.

Prediction: Jaguars 20, Titans 17

Bears at Lions

Well, that didn’t take long to shoot up. Literally minutes after the Chicago Bears announced that Jimmy Clausen would be starting in favor of Jay Cutler, sportsbooks immediately added two points to the spread, from -7 to -9 on the Detroit Lions. I personally don’t think it’s going to matter because the Bears appear to have checked out of this season. They’re like the team that knows it’s not going to make the playoffs and they’re just going to be doing whatever it takes to get through the last two weeks. This is normally a recipe for concern, but not when you’re betting against a team that literally just wants the season to end.

Prediction: Lions 24, Bears 14